Coronavirus Cases in India :- A professor from IIT Kanpur has issued a warning that in the upcoming month of May, there could be as many as 50,000 new daily cases of COVID-19.
Corona Virus Cases Rises Again
The resurgence of COVID-19 cases is causing renewed alarm as India reports over 10,000 new cases daily. Dr. Maiandra Aggarwal, a professor at IIT Kanpur, has made a startling prediction that the peak of Coronavirus cases will occur in mid-May. Based on a mathematical model, he has forecasted that there could be between 50,000 to 60,000 new cases of COVID-19 in May.
An exact forecast regarding COVID-19 cases will be possible in a week’s time when the research team has gathered sufficient data. As per the latest update from the Union Health Ministry, there were 10,753 new cases of COVID-19 reported in the last 24 hours, bringing the total number of active cases in the country to 53,720. However, the number of cases reported today is lower than the previous day.
Why will the cases of coronavirus increase?
The professor from IIT Kanpur has identified two factors responsible for the surge in coronavirus cases. The first reason is a decrease in natural immunity against the virus among 5% of the population. Secondly, the new variant of COVID-19 is spreading rapidly and contributing to the rise in cases.
According to Professor Aggarwal, over 90% of people in India and around 95% of people in Uttar Pradesh have natural immunity. He also predicted that there could be around 50,000 coronavirus cases in the coming months, but he believes that it is not a significant concern for a country as populous as India.
It would not be too hazardous.
The professor has observed that the majority of cases exhibit mild symptoms, and individuals experiencing cough and cold are being treated at home. He suggests that coronavirus should be approached similarly to a regular flu and may not be as perilous as it was during the second wave.